Nechokuchamhembe kwehemisphere zvishoma nezvishoma kupinda muchando uye gasi kuchengetedza mumamiriro ezvinhu akanaka, vhiki ino, zvimwe zvibvumirano zvenguva pfupi zvegasi muUnited States neEurope zvakashamisika kuona "negative gasi mitengo".Kusagadzikana kukuru mumusika wepasi rose gasi kwapfuura here?
Sangano reInternational Energy Agency (IEA) richangoburitsa gwaro reNatural Gas Analysis and Outlook (2022-2025), iro rakati kunyangwe musika weNorth America gasi rechisikigo uchiri kushanda, kushandiswa kwegasi repasi rose kunotarisirwa kudzikira ne0.5% gore rino kukudzikisira kwemabasa ehupfumi muAsia uye mutengo wakakwira wekudiwa kwegasi rechisikigo muEurope.
Nekune rimwe divi, IEA ichiri yambiro mumusika wayo wegasi wegasi wekota kuti Europe icharamba yakatarisana nenjodzi "isina kumboitika" yekushomeka kwegasi rechisikigo munguva yechando ye2022/2023, uye yakurudzira kuchengetedza gasi.
Pamusana pemamiriro ekuderera kwepasi rose mukudiwa, kuderera kweEurope ndiko kwakanyanya kukosha.Chirevo ichi chinoratidza kuti kubvira gore rino, mitengo yegasi yechisikigo yave ichichinja uye kupa kwave kusingaite nekuda kwekunetsana pakati peRussia neUkraine.Kudiwa kwegasi rechisikigo muEurope muzvikamu zvitatu zvekutanga kwadzikira ne10% kana zvichienzaniswa nenguva yakafanana gore rapfuura.
Panguva imwecheteyo, kudiwa kwegasi rechisikigo muAsia neCentral neSouth America kwakadzikirawo.Zvakadaro, mushumo uyu unotenda kuti zvikonzero zvekudzikira kuri kuita matunhu aya zvakasiyana nezviri muEurope, zvakanyanya nekuti mabasa ehupfumi haasati anyatsogadzikana.
North America ndeimwe yematunhu mashoma uko kudiwa kwegasi rechisikigo kwakawedzera kubva gore rino - kudiwa kweUnited States neCanada kwakawedzera ne4% uye 8% zvichiteerana.
Zvinoenderana nedata rakapihwa neMutungamiriri weEuropean Commission Von Delain mukutanga kwaGumiguru, kuvimba kweEU pagasi rechisikigo reRussia kwakadzikira kubva pa41% pakutanga kwegore kusvika pa7,5% parizvino.Nekudaro, Europe yakazadzisa chinangwa chayo chekuchengetera gasi pamberi penguva apo isingatarisire kuti gasi rechisikigo reRussia richararama munguva yechando.Zvinoenderana nedata reEuropean Natural Gas Infrastructure (GIE), matura ezvivakwa zveUGS muEurope asvika 93.61%.Pakutanga, nyika dzeEU dzakazvipira kune inokwana 80% yenzvimbo dzekuchengetera gasi munguva yechando gore rino uye 90% munguva dzese dzechando dzinouya.
Sezvenguva yekuburitswa kwenhau, iyo TTF bhenji yeDutch gasi remangwana mutengo, inozivikanwa se "mhepo vane" yeEuropean gasi mitengo, yakashuma 99.79 euros/MWh munaNovember, inopfuura 70% yakaderera pane iyo yepamusoro ye350 euros / MWh muna Nyamavhuvhu.
IEA inotenda kuti kukura kwemusika gasi rechisikigo kuchiri kunonoka uye pane kusavimbika kukuru.Chirevo chinofanotaura kuti kukura kwepasi rose kudiwa kwegasi muna 2024 kunotarisirwa kudzikira ne60% zvichienzaniswa nekufanotaura kwayo;Pakazosvika 2025, kudiwa kwegasi rechisikigo pasi rose kuchave neavhareji yekukura kwepagore chete 0.8%, inova 0.9 muzana mapoinzi yakaderera pane yakambofanotaura yeavhareji yekukura kwepagore ye1.7%.
Nguva yekutumira: Oct-28-2022